In recent weeks, a new joint report from the Stockholm Environment Institute, Climate Analytics, and the International Institute for Sustainable Development has sounded the alarm: current plans by several fossil fuel-producing countries are set to exceed the limits allowed to keep global warming below 1.5°C . These countries include some of the world's largest emitters, such as the United States, Russia, China, and Saudi Arabia.

The most worrying thing is that, instead of decreasing, some of these countries plan to increase their coal, gas, and oil production by 2030 compared to 2023 levels. Only a few nations—Norway, the United Kingdom, and Australia—have formalized commitments to reduce their extraction.

This scenario is not simply an abstract environmental problem. It means concrete impacts: more flooding, deeper droughts, crop losses, and more frequent heat waves. Vulnerable communities, many with little infrastructure to respond to these changes, will face the most severe consequences. Women, in particular, are disproportionately affected when they depend on natural resources, water, and agricultural or domestic work—tasks that become more arduous in extreme weather.

In response, during Climate Week NYC 2025, world leaders, NGOs, and private companies issued an urgent call to align real actions with commitments. Initiatives such as “Build Clean Now” and green investment plans targeting developing countries highlight that responsibility no longer rests solely with governments, but also with the private sector and civil society.

But the reports also reveal a gap: many promises have yet to translate into concrete policies or sufficient investment. Experts warn that without an accelerated, sustainable, and equitable energy transition, the 1.5°C target is very close to becoming unattainable. And it's not just about saving ecosystems: the well-being of populations already struggling for access to clean water, food security, health, and gender equality is at stake.